Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.179919 0.214506 0.253367 0.300182 0.354958 0.416932 0.492272
2025-04-06 0.126345 0.169707 0.223924 0.296333 0.390106 0.507001 0.663272
2025-04-13 0.096604 0.142086 0.203730 0.292640 0.416706 0.582645 0.820144
2025-04-20 0.080934 0.128287 0.196850 0.302108 0.458054 0.678644 1.011808
2025-04-27 0.073667 0.124459 0.202234 0.328064 0.524037 0.814381 1.272709
2025-05-04 0.065053 0.116587 0.199672 0.340694 0.570515 0.925514 1.508541
2025-05-11 0.055022 0.104372 0.187961 0.336458 0.589053 0.994818 1.686327
2025-05-18 0.045555 0.091303 0.172564 0.323376 0.590584 1.036034 1.822081
2025-05-25 0.037514 0.079307 0.157028 0.307445 0.584513 1.062921 1.935317
2025-06-01 0.033742 0.074781 0.154250 0.313805 0.617830 1.159020 2.174296
2025-06-08 0.028621 0.066604 0.143283 0.303140 0.618429 1.197277 2.314748
2025-06-15 0.026127 0.063498 0.141773 0.310451 0.653354 1.300087 2.580080
2025-06-22 0.023485 0.059788 0.138872 0.315390 0.685861 1.404655 2.864833
2025-06-29 0.020431 0.054590 0.132091 0.311457 0.700432 1.477264 3.097753
2025-07-06 0.017837 0.049966 0.125806 0.307598 0.714465 1.549889 3.337349
2025-07-13 0.016492 0.048200 0.125745 0.317516 0.758880 1.687584 3.719411
2025-07-20 0.016286 0.049374 0.132797 0.344700 0.844167 1.917229 4.309681
2025-07-27 0.015284 0.048193 0.133909 0.357925 0.899457 2.088749 4.793670
2025-08-03 0.013517 0.044498 0.128108 0.353490 0.913439 2.172688 5.098727
2025-08-10 0.011579 0.039878 0.119140 0.339791 0.903742 2.203401 5.290610
2025-08-17 0.009797 0.035328 0.109580 0.323106 0.884605 2.210679 5.430621
2025-08-24 0.009082 0.034022 0.108831 0.329768 0.924411 2.357011 5.898194
2025-08-31 0.007864 0.030768 0.101942 0.318596 0.917248 2.392259 6.112123